Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.218778 0.253093 0.290994 0.335961 0.387861 0.445891 0.515721
2025-09-28 0.164254 0.210117 0.265993 0.339079 0.432194 0.546941 0.699243
2025-10-05 0.140636 0.192823 0.260851 0.356023 0.485825 0.656857 0.899730
2025-10-12 0.122857 0.178274 0.254613 0.367453 0.530158 0.756593 1.096388
2025-10-19 0.108859 0.165923 0.248387 0.376233 0.569686 0.851972 1.296335
2025-10-26 0.096498 0.153705 0.239995 0.379611 0.600196 0.936011 1.487767
2025-11-02 0.084750 0.140538 0.228048 0.375278 0.617253 1.000175 1.654437
2025-11-09 0.073461 0.126451 0.212646 0.363008 0.619337 1.039793 1.784715
2025-11-16 0.067782 0.120818 0.210064 0.371106 0.655183 1.137031 2.020141
2025-11-23 0.061902 0.114032 0.204605 0.373342 0.680744 1.218897 2.237233
2025-11-30 0.057373 0.109040 0.201573 0.379261 0.713012 1.315053 2.489323
2025-12-07 0.051551 0.100941 0.191995 0.371974 0.720039 1.366111 2.663254
2025-12-14 0.046848 0.094505 0.184943 0.368939 0.735288 1.434982 2.880942
2025-12-21 0.043429 0.090184 0.181442 0.372398 0.763533 1.531592 3.164062
2025-12-28 0.042022 0.089724 0.185378 0.391003 0.823795 1.696584 3.602339
2026-01-04 0.040081 0.087911 0.186353 0.403553 0.872866 1.843939 4.020199
2026-01-11 0.038024 0.085595 0.186003 0.413194 0.916716 1.984786 4.439431
2026-01-18 0.035629 0.082251 0.183091 0.416903 0.948019 2.102093 4.819926
2026-01-25 0.032777 0.077544 0.176703 0.412145 0.959917 2.178387 5.116772
2026-02-01 0.029559 0.071622 0.166972 0.398672 0.950457 2.206164 5.305146
2026-02-08 0.028232 0.070009 0.166864 0.407564 0.993891 2.358042 5.800965
2026-02-15 0.026578 0.067416 0.164190 0.410019 1.022200 2.477566 6.231925
2026-02-22 0.025309 0.065628 0.163232 0.416519 1.060971 2.625581 6.748633